Exit polls for the 2025 Bihar Assembly Elections indicate a clear and strong victory for Nitish Kumar and the National Democratic Alliance (NDA). Multiple exit polls show the NDA crossing the majority mark comfortably, signaling continuity in the state government led by Nitish Kumar.
Several leading pollsters including Matrize, Chanakya, and People’s Pulse forecast the NDA to win between 130 and 167 seats out of the 243-seat assembly, well above the 122-seat majority needed. The coalition parties, mainly JD(U), BJP, and Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas), have combined strength across caste and regional lines to secure voter trust.
In contrast, the main opposition, the Mahagathbandhan alliance led by the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and Congress, is shown trailing with predicted seats ranging between 70 and 102, falling short of a majority. Tejashwi Yadav’s hopes for becoming Chief Minister appear dim as his alliance struggles to gain wider support.
Prashant Kishor’s newly launched Jan Suraaj party is failing to make a significant impact, with exit polls showing it may win no seats or very few. Despite a high voter turnout of over 65%, the wave of support is clearly in favor of the NDA, reinforcing Nitish Kumar’s long-standing leadership in Bihar politics.
The final election results will be announced on November 14, 2025, but current exit poll trends strongly favor the NDA’s return with Nitish Kumar continuing as Chief Minister for a historic tenth term. This outcome reflects the electorate’s endorsement of the NDA’s governance and political strategy in Bihar.
Overall, these exit polls mark a decisive moment, signaling that Nitish Kumar’s alliance remains the dominant force in Bihar’s political landscape for the near future.
